Hot take: I thought cap rates were the whole story for a strip mall deal in Phoenix
For years, I just looked at the cap rate on a listing and called it a day. If it was a 7, I was in. Then I lost a bid on a 20,000 square foot retail center last fall because my offer was too low. My broker told me the winning bidder ran a full tenant-by-tenant rent roll analysis and found three national credit tenants with 8-year leases left. That stability meant way more than the headline cap rate. Now I spend a full day digging into every lease, looking at renewal dates, and checking tenant credit before I even think about the price. It changed how I see value completely. Has anyone else gotten burned by just trusting the cap rate number?